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The Long-Term Future

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The Art of the Long View. By Peter Schwartz. In The Art of the Long View, Schwartz outlines the “scenario” approach to creating a strategic vision. As Kindle | More...

The Clock of the Long Now. By Stewart Brand. Civilization is revving itself into a pathologically short attention span. Brand, called "the least recognized most influential thinker in America," explores long-term responsibility. As Kindle | More...

Earthfuture. By Guy Dauncey. Earthfuture provides us with a vision of positive and achievable alternatives. With its mix of utopian fiction and reportage of near-reality, it skillfully sows the seeds of an alternative future. More...

Outgrowing The Earth. By Lester Brown. Falling water tables in countries that contain more than half the world's people and rising temperatures worldwide are the leading threats to global security. Water shortages and crop-withering heat waves are shrinking grain harvests, making it difficult for the world's farmers to feed 70 million more people each year. Tightening food supplies could drive up food prices, destabilizing governments in low-income grain-importing countries and disrupting global economic progress. Future security depends on raising water productivity and stabilizing climate and population. More…

Scenario Planning: The Link Between Future and Strategy. By Mats Lindgren and Hans Bandhold. This book uses examples and case studies to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy and innovation. More...

Scenario Planning Handbook: Developing Strategies in Uncertain Times. By Ian Wilson and Bill Ralston. This handbook for developing and using scenarios guides you step-by-step through the sequence and intricacies of a scenario project and subsequent strategic decision making. It discusses the uses and benefits of scenarios, what they are and are not, and when they are needed. In addition, it deals with the cultural and organizational changes that an organization must undertake to maximize the benefits of scenario-based planning. More...

Scenario Planning: Managing for the Future. By Gill Ringland. Takes a conceptual rather than mathematical approach to scenario planning. It is a hands-on guide to help you use scenarios, not as predictions or forecasts, but as powerful tools to manage the uncertainties of the future. It includes many case studies, checklists, early indicators and examples. More...

World on the Edge: How to Prevent Environmental and Economic Collapse.  By Lester Brown. In this urgent time, World on the Edge calls out the pivotal environmental issues and how to solve them now. Can we close coal-fired power plants fast enough to save the Greenland ice sheet and avoid catastrophic sea level rise? Can we raise water productivity fast enough to halt the depletion of aquifers and avoid water-driven food shortages? Can we cope with peak water and peak oil at the same time? Bringing decades of research and analysis into play, Brown provides the responses needed to reclaim our future. As Kindle | More…

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